Wildfire survivors call fire-prediction markets “morally reprehensible” and worry they could increase the risk of arson.

Meta is reportedly developing a new standalone prediction markets application that could place the social media giant in ...

The significant boom of prediction markets is pushing U.S. elections into uncharted territory, prompting concern and scrutiny ...

Conventional wisdom says the best predictions are the ones that minimize mistakes, but new research suggests that is not necessarily how people see it. A study published in Management Science has ...

Kalshi published campaign-style updates on his odds, and Polymarket hosted multiple active markets on whether Pratt would ...

We act fast on the basis of our predictions but learn most when we get it wrong, according to a new brain-scan study.

Researchers at European XFEL, Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR), Rostock University and other collaborating institutions have used high-precision experiments to demonstrate that the most ...

Platforms like Kalshi let millions wager on sports and pop culture. They’re now hoping institutions will use them for big-ticket trading like hedging. By Michael J. de la Merced Most people use ...

Three World Cup prediction markets stand out ahead of kickoff, from fading African group winners to backing a Spanish star for individual honors. Here's where the market may still be underestimating ...

Fortune favors the bold. Or something like that. Certainly, in June, spending time chewing the fat with some NFL execs and general managers who have some time on their hands, you can come away with ...